Pre-tourney Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#237
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#193
Pace68.0#232
Improvement-1.3#237

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#276
First Shot-1.5#227
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#317
Layup/Dunks-1.4#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#111
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#218
Freethrows+0.1#164
Improvement+1.0#138

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#193
First Shot-0.5#189
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#214
Layups/Dunks+5.6#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#247
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#347
Freethrows+0.7#122
Improvement-2.3#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 135   @ Southern Illinois L 75-77 18%     0 - 1 +2.9 +3.0 +0.0
  Nov 16, 2015 197   Tennessee Tech W 80-70 52%     1 - 1 +4.9 -3.8 +8.1
  Nov 19, 2015 341   Mississippi Valley W 65-64 88%     2 - 1 -16.3 -14.8 -1.5
  Nov 22, 2015 306   Robert Morris W 64-52 77%     3 - 1 -0.4 -10.7 +10.2
  Nov 25, 2015 47   @ Colorado L 70-81 6%     3 - 2 +2.4 +4.8 -2.1
  Nov 28, 2015 112   New Mexico St. W 66-64 OT 30%     4 - 2 +2.7 -4.6 +7.2
  Dec 02, 2015 323   The Citadel W 97-93 82%     5 - 2 -10.3 -2.6 -8.4
  Dec 05, 2015 191   @ Denver W 61-59 29%     6 - 2 +3.0 -8.7 +11.9
  Dec 08, 2015 69   @ Ohio St. L 50-74 8%     6 - 3 -13.0 -16.3 +3.8
  Dec 12, 2015 251   Army L 80-90 64%     6 - 4 -18.4 -8.4 -8.4
  Dec 19, 2015 235   @ UC Davis W 67-60 38%     7 - 4 +5.4 +0.5 +5.1
  Jan 02, 2016 248   San Jose St. W 64-57 63%     8 - 4 1 - 0 -1.0 -10.6 +9.6
  Jan 06, 2016 164   @ Wyoming L 52-64 24%     8 - 5 1 - 1 -9.4 -19.4 +9.3
  Jan 09, 2016 141   Nevada L 63-86 37%     8 - 6 1 - 2 -24.2 -10.9 -11.2
  Jan 12, 2016 133   @ Utah St. L 60-79 18%     8 - 7 1 - 3 -13.8 -13.7 -0.2
  Jan 16, 2016 115   @ UNLV L 64-100 15%     8 - 8 1 - 4 -29.7 -3.1 -26.6
  Jan 20, 2016 142   Colorado St. L 79-83 38%     8 - 9 1 - 5 -5.5 +5.6 -11.3
  Jan 23, 2016 102   Fresno St. L 55-56 26%     8 - 10 1 - 6 +1.2 -14.3 +15.4
  Jan 27, 2016 116   @ New Mexico L 55-84 16%     8 - 11 1 - 7 -22.9 -15.8 -7.4
  Jan 30, 2016 248   @ San Jose St. L 54-75 40%     8 - 12 1 - 8 -23.1 -12.4 -12.5
  Feb 02, 2016 164   Wyoming W 70-62 45%     9 - 12 2 - 8 +4.8 +0.9 +4.8
  Feb 06, 2016 94   Boise St. W 61-53 23%     10 - 12 3 - 8 +10.9 -9.5 +20.6
  Feb 10, 2016 141   @ Nevada L 52-72 19%     10 - 13 3 - 9 -15.3 -9.2 -7.7
  Feb 13, 2016 53   @ San Diego St. L 61-70 6%     10 - 14 3 - 10 +3.7 +9.2 -6.9
  Feb 16, 2016 115   UNLV W 79-74 31%     11 - 14 4 - 10 +5.5 +4.1 +1.0
  Feb 20, 2016 116   New Mexico W 76-72 32%     12 - 14 5 - 10 +4.3 -5.6 +9.5
  Feb 24, 2016 102   @ Fresno St. L 63-64 12%     12 - 15 5 - 11 +7.0 -1.6 +8.5
  Mar 01, 2016 133   Utah St. L 65-78 35%     12 - 16 5 - 12 -13.7 -6.4 -8.3
  Mar 05, 2016 142   @ Colorado St. L 73-87 20%     12 - 17 5 - 13 -9.7 -2.5 -7.1
  Mar 09, 2016 115   @ UNLV L 102-108 3OT 15%     12 - 18 +0.3 +4.5 -2.4
Projected Record 12.0 - 18.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%